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It is bittersweet for me to write this, but this week will be my final blog post on Paul’s Perspectives. I have been writing a financial newsletter, market note, or blog post under one heading or another for more than 20 years. I have enjoyed it far more than I expected when I first began. Writing forced me to think more clearly. It made me put arguments on paper. It made me test ideas against markets that do not care about anyone’s opinion. The best part was never the writin

The Federal Reserve just changed the market conversation. A quarter-point rate hike may not sound dramatic, but it matters because it confirms one thing investors have been debating all year: inflation is still too high. The Fed’s target is 2%. Inflation running near 3% is better than the worst of the last cycle, but it is not low enough for policymakers to declare victory. The message from the Fed was clear. One hike has arrived, and another increase before year-end is likel

The wound of September 11, 2001, has not closed. It has aged, but it has not disappeared. Nearly 3,000 people were killed. Families were broken in a single morning. Firefighters, police officers, office workers, airline passengers, flight crews, bystanders, and rescuers entered the nation’s memory forever. Some saw the horror from the streets of New York, Arlington, and Pennsylvania. Millions more watched it unfold on television, unable to look away and unable to understand h

For many Americans, Labor Day means a long weekend, a grill in the yard, one last trip before fall, and a welcome break from work. That break carries a deeper meaning. It began as a demand for dignity from people who worked long hours, often in dangerous places, for wages that barely supported a family. Labor deserves celebration because labor builds the country in visible and invisible ways. It produces food, homes, roads, machines, tools, care, transport, and services. It g

NVIDIA did not just clear the bar. It raised the bar again. The chipmaker at the center of the AI buildout reported another huge quarter, with revenue up 106% from the prior year and diluted earnings per share up 120%. For a company already operating at massive scale, those numbers are hard to dismiss as hype. They point to something more durable: demand for AI computing power is still rapidly expanding, and NVIDIA remains one of the clearest beneficiaries. This is why NVIDIA

Bitcoin has done what Bitcoin often does best: it moved faster than most investors expected. A gain of more than 22% in a single week is enough to pull traders back to their screens, revive long-term price targets, and raise the question that always follows a sharp jump: can the rally continue? The honest answer is more interesting than a simple yes or no. A strong weekly move can signal a change in momentum, but Bitcoin has a long history of violent rallies inside broader do

55 years ago today, on August 15, 1971, President Richard Nixon appeared on television that Sunday night and announced what sounded like a temporary emergency financial measure. The United States would stop allowing foreign governments to exchange dollars for gold. With that brief announcement, the gold standard was officially ended in United States negatively changing your world forever! Most Americans did not grasp the scale of what had happened. They were watching price co

Microsoft’s July 29, 2026 earnings report did more than beat Wall Street’s expectations. It gave investors a fresh reason to believe the AI buildout is still in its early innings, and that the biggest winners may be the companies sitting at the center of compute, software, and enterprise adoption. The numbers were strong. Microsoft reported Q4 2026 EPS of $4.74, beating analyst consensus of $4.24 by $0.50. Quarterly revenue came in at $90.01 billion, up 17.7% year over year a

Some tech stocks look expensive because they are expensive. Others look expensive only if the price is viewed without the earnings growth behind it. That distinction matters. A stock trading at 25 times earnings can be reasonable if profits are growing fast and predictably. A stock trading at 300 times earnings needs almost everything to go right for a very long time. The P/E ratio helps separate those two cases. The short answer is this: yes, some tech stocks are massively o

In June 1981, the United States faced an extraordinary economic moment. The prime interest rate soared to 21.5%, and 30-year mortgage rates climbed above 18%. This sharp rise was no accident. It was a deliberate move by the Federal Reserve under Chairman Paul Volcker to tackle the severe inflation that plagued the 1970s. Today, with inflation again elevated, especially after the disruptions caused by Covid-19, many wonder if the Fed is preparing to follow a similar path. The

Investing in stocks often means navigating through ups and downs, market fears, and company fundamentals. Right now, three well-known companies, Microsoft, AT&T, and Pepsi, are attracting my attention due to recent price drops despite strong business positions. This post explores whether these stocks are good buys at their current prices by examining their recent performance, business strengths, and future prospects. Microsoft (MSFT): A Strong Growth Story with Temporary Set

Every year on July 4th, millions of people across the United States celebrate with barbecues, family gatherings, and fireworks. For many, it is simply a day off work and a chance to enjoy summer festivities. Yet, beneath the festivities lies a momentous event that changed the course of history. July 4, 1776, marks the birth of a nation founded on a radical idea: that certain rights belong to every individual by divine authority, not granted by governments but inherent and una

For more than three years, I have been a strong supporter of owning AT&T stock. While it has not delivered the rapid gains seen in some tech or AI stocks, it has provided a solid total return of about 70%. What makes AT&T especially appealing is the steady income it generates, with a dividend yield close to 4%, offering a reliable source of cash flow for investors. Yet, over the past 90 days, AT&T’s stock price has fallen by nearly 19%. This sudden drop raises an important qu

World War II reshaped the global order in profound ways, but many of its causes and consequences were anticipated decades earlier. Around 20 years before the war erupted, various thinkers and organizations accurately forecasted the likelihood of another global conflict, including the potential involvement of the United States, and exactly how the United States would get involved. This post explores those early predictions, focusing on the accurate foresight regarding Japan’s

The tech sector, especially chip stocks linked to artificial intelligence, experienced a sharp selloff this week. Broadcom, a key player in the chip industry, dropped from $479 per share to $385 in just two days, losing about 20% of its value. This decline came despite the company reporting outstanding earnings growth, rapidly rising revenue, and a strong demand pipeline expected to last well over three years. Such a steep drop in a fundamentally strong stock raises an import

You may have seen YouTube videos claiming that the wealthy do not live like everyone else. Instead of selling assets and paying taxes, they borrow against their growing investments to keep their wealth intact and growing. This strategy sounds smart and tax-efficient, but it hides serious risks that many content creators don’t mention. Before you try to live like the rich, it’s important to understand both the benefits and the dangers of this approach. How the Wealthy Manage T

Artificial intelligence is no longer a distant concept or a niche technology. It is reshaping industries, driving innovation, and creating massive economic opportunities. This week, I increased my investments in AI-related stocks, focusing on companies like Broadcom, Amazon, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Google (Alphabet). While Microsoft and NVIDIA remain major holdings, I chose to diversify further rather than add more shares of those giants, given my already significant exposu

The tech stock slump that began last October appears to have ended this week with a strong surge. After months of skepticism about artificial intelligence, the market is now showing clear signs that AI is moving beyond hype into a phase of rapid adoption. This shift is driving significant growth for companies involved in AI technology and the hardware that supports it. Investors are taking notice as AI moves from early experimentation to widespread use, creating new opportuni

Freedom demands constant vigilance and courage. It is not a prize won once and kept forever. Every generation faces the challenge of defending liberty against forces that threaten to take it away. As President Ronald Reagan warned, "Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction." Today, the world watches a tense standoff with Iran, a conflict that has been delayed but not avoided. This situation forces a critical choice: continue to live under the shadow of f

When I recently looked closely at my monthly spending, I was shocked. Small expenses I barely noticed were quietly draining well over $1000 from my budget every month. This wasn’t about reckless spending but about habits that added up over time. Just like losing weight requires consistent effort and smart choices, managing money demands the same discipline and attention. A few years ago, I faced a similar challenge with my health. I had gained weight to an uncomfortable level